It appears to be true! I pulled the 2008 full season numbers for some punch and judy hitters (The-RIOT, Ichiro, & Polanco). Not to say these guys can't hit but despite The-RIOT & Ichiro's start to 2009 are surely not power hitters.
Again I used the scoring in my league (single =1, double =2, triple = 3, HR =4, Run =1, walk = 1, RBI = 1, SB = 2) and sorted by fantasy points/game. Then I took the % of points scored in the first 1/4, first 1/2 and first 3/4 of all games.
Slap hitters:
The-RIOT - 59/87/102 (FPTS from top 1/4, top 1/2, and top 3/4 of all games)
Ryan was a consistent product on my team last year scoring >15 points nearly every week it seemed. These numbers (similar to Pujols 58/86/99 breakdown but with alot less power/points distributed) lead to this type of consistent scoring
Polanco - 64/90/102
Placido Polanco (not Enrico Pollazo from Naked Gun fame) has similar numbers. He appears alittle more streaky with a higher percentage of points in the first quartile but all in all around the same.
Ichiro - 56/87/100
A model of consistency Ichiro again has a Pujolsian breakdwon in points - a testiment to his consistent point scoring abilities.
BOTTOM LINE:
ALL Fantasy players evaluated - Sluggers & Slap Hitters - scored >50% of their fantasy points in the top 25% of their games. Some sluggers score closer to 80% of their points in the top quartile of their games.
Just another reason to LOVE Pujols in fantasy baseball - especially H2H. He puts up MONSTER numbers like a slugger with the consistent distribution of a slap hitter.
Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Sluggers do 75% of their damage in 25% of their games
Or do they?
I've heard this number thrown around like gospel on a certain podcast and ever since I first heard it I wondered if it was based in fact. Well I had not seen anyone else do this so I figured I'd give it a shot.
I based the scoring off the scoring in my league (single =1, double =2, triple = 3, HR =4, Run =1, walk = 1, RBI = 1, SB = 2)
Here's what I found:
Sluggers
Pujols - 58/86/99 (FPTS from top 1/4, top 1/2, and top 3/4 of all games)
Sir Albert scores 58% of his fantasy points in the top 25% of his games. Slightly less than theorized 75%.
Dunn - 76/105/112
Adam DOES score ~75% of his points in 25% of his games. At first glance it appears the numbers are off...how can he score more than 100% of his points in only 75% of his games? Well, with negative points for K's big sluggers like this can rack up quite a few negative games (in Dunn's case 30 of them)...that's how
Uggla - 83/113/117
Danny boy is maddening to fantasy owners...and now you know why. If you don't catch his hot streaks you miss nearly everything he has to offer. He scored 86% of his points in only 37 games!
More analysis on slap hitters to come later...
I've heard this number thrown around like gospel on a certain podcast and ever since I first heard it I wondered if it was based in fact. Well I had not seen anyone else do this so I figured I'd give it a shot.
I based the scoring off the scoring in my league (single =1, double =2, triple = 3, HR =4, Run =1, walk = 1, RBI = 1, SB = 2)
Here's what I found:
Sluggers
Pujols - 58/86/99 (FPTS from top 1/4, top 1/2, and top 3/4 of all games)
Sir Albert scores 58% of his fantasy points in the top 25% of his games. Slightly less than theorized 75%.
Dunn - 76/105/112
Adam DOES score ~75% of his points in 25% of his games. At first glance it appears the numbers are off...how can he score more than 100% of his points in only 75% of his games? Well, with negative points for K's big sluggers like this can rack up quite a few negative games (in Dunn's case 30 of them)...that's how
Uggla - 83/113/117
Danny boy is maddening to fantasy owners...and now you know why. If you don't catch his hot streaks you miss nearly everything he has to offer. He scored 86% of his points in only 37 games!
More analysis on slap hitters to come later...
Monday, May 11, 2009
Alberto Callaspo - 2B
Who?
If you missed out on the Aaron Hill/Orlando Hudson/Marco Scutaro sweepstakes...
OR
If you drafted Dan Uggla/Alexei Ramirez/Kelly Johnson and are sick of waiting around...
You need to pick up Alberto Callaspo. While the success of the Royals and particularly Zach Greinke is not going unnoticed...this guys is (owned in 46% of CBSsportsline leagues and only 19% of ESPN leagues.)
Here's what you need to know:
If you are in a league that penalizes strikeouts you have to LOVE his 1.43 BB/K ratio in the bigs this year. Again, looking at his career numbers this guy has always walked more than he Ks. His 93.4% contact rate is only outmatched by Scutaro, Span, and Eckstein.
I could throw more stats at you but I think you get the point...if you need help at 2B pick this guy up. If you are in a keeper league you want this guy for the long term.
If you missed out on the Aaron Hill/Orlando Hudson/Marco Scutaro sweepstakes...
OR
If you drafted Dan Uggla/Alexei Ramirez/Kelly Johnson and are sick of waiting around...
You need to pick up Alberto Callaspo. While the success of the Royals and particularly Zach Greinke is not going unnoticed...this guys is (owned in 46% of CBSsportsline leagues and only 19% of ESPN leagues.)
Here's what you need to know:
- Starting at 2B (played 48 games at SS last year so may have dual eligibility in some leagues)
- hit safely in 24 of 29 games
- He's a doubles machine (13 already vs. 19 singles)
- He turned 26 in April (if you're into that sort of thing)
If you are in a league that penalizes strikeouts you have to LOVE his 1.43 BB/K ratio in the bigs this year. Again, looking at his career numbers this guy has always walked more than he Ks. His 93.4% contact rate is only outmatched by Scutaro, Span, and Eckstein.
I could throw more stats at you but I think you get the point...if you need help at 2B pick this guy up. If you are in a keeper league you want this guy for the long term.
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